Money and Finance
Crestmont Market Valuation Update
Via Doug Short:
The Crestmont P/E of 19.9 is 45% above its average (arithmetic mean) of 13.7. This valuation level is similar to the 44% we see in the latest S&P Composite regression to trend update and higher than the 26% above mean for the Cyclical P/E10 (more here).
The Crestmont P/E of 19.9 puts the current valuation at the 90th percentile of this 141-year series.
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The Q Ratio And Market Valuation: Monthly Update
Via Doug Short: Link to: The Q Ratio and Market Valuation: Monthly Update
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The Q Ratio And Market Valuation: Monthly Update – By Doug Short
Based on the latest Flow of Funds data, the Q Ratio at the end of the first quarter was 0.96. Now, five months later, the broad market is up about 1.0%. My latest estimate would put the ratio about 38% above its arithmetic mean and 48% above its geometric...
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Ed Easterling On Fair Value
From Probable Outcomes: “The concept of fair value relates to the appropriate value for the stock market given existing economic and market conditions. For example, when the inflation rate is in the mid-range, then bond yields should be in the mid-range...
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John Mauldin's Outside The Box: Converging On The Horizon - By Ed Easterling
The end is near! Stock market history and earnings cycle history are converging. As a result, the market is likely to be down for the year 2011 or 2012. If not, then it will have been different this time. Crestmont’s research focuses primarily on long-term...
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Stock Valuation Method - Average P/e Ratio
In an attempt to determine the fair value or a target entry price for a stock, it's best to use multiple methods to compare across different metrics. This is the 3rd part in my series on stock valuation methods in which I've already covered...
Money and Finance