Money and Finance
The Absolute Return Letter, December 2013: Squeaky Bum Time
QE has led to asset price inflation. That much we established in the November Absolute Return Letter. In this month’s letter we go one step further and look at whether we are now in bubble territory. Considering the strong bull-run we have experienced in 2012-13 it is perhaps surprising to learn that, in a historical context, it is not an outsized rally, nor are equity markets - with the possible exception of the United States - particularly expensive.
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Links
Ruane, Cunniff & Goldfarb Investor Day Transcript (May 2015) [H/T market folly] (LINK) Pershing Square Holdings' interim report [H/T Will] (LINK) Jim Grant: The Fed Turned the Stock Market Into a 'Hall of Mirrors' (video) (LINK) Are You...
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Links
James Montier interview (LINK) One shouldn’t dwell too much on the semantics of a bubble. We at GMO define bubbles as a two standard deviation move away from the long term trend. And we are not quite there yet. We’d need another 10 to 15%. But let’s...
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The Absolute Return Letter, February 2014: Challenging The Consensus
Link to: The Absolute Return Letter, February 2014: Challenging the Consensus Investors are overwhelmingly bearish on bonds going into 2014. In this month’s Absolute Return Letter we challenge that view and look at various reasons why the bond...
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The Absolute Return Letter - December 2012
Absolute Return Partners turned 10 years old only last week. We celebrate this milestone with a major overhaul of our brand. Unless you are a first time reader of this letter, you will notice the new look. Likewise, our new website will be launched in...
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The Absolute Return Letter - October 2012: When Career Risk Reigns
In this month's Absolute Return Letter we pick up the baton from last month. How does the current crisis actually affect financial markets? How do you overcome the low returns? What can you do to protect the downside risk in a high correlation environment?...
Money and Finance