Money and Finance
- The Absolute Return Letter, February 2014: Challenging The Consensus
Link to: The Absolute Return Letter, February 2014: Challenging the Consensus Investors are overwhelmingly bearish on bonds going into 2014. In this month’s Absolute Return Letter we challenge that view and look at various reasons why the bond...
- The Absolute Return Letter, October 2013: Heads Or Tails?
The number of people on planet earth will grow from around 7 billion today to over 8 billion by 2030. At the same time, the old-age dependency ratio in many countries around the world will reach critical levels, creating significant headwinds for economic...
- Richard Duncan Quotes
Another longer excerpt from The New Depression (taken from my Kindle highlights, so the excerpts aren’t necessarily the paragraphs I have put them in below, and there may be things in between that I didn’t highlight). I've been posting a lot of...
- A Template For Understanding What’s Going On - By Ray Dalio
I provided a link to this in a previous post, but I thought I’d also give it its own post as I believe this paper from Ray Dalio is one of the most important things I’ve read all year. As Dalio mentions, there is a big difference between a normal...
- Hussman Weekly Market Comment: House On Ice
On the surface, the U.S. economy is gradually recovering. Based on mean reversion to potential GDP (which generally occurs over a 4-year horizon absent an intervening recession), we would expect GDP growth over the coming 4-year period to average 3.8%,...
Money and Finance
The Absolute Return Letter - September 2011: If Carlsberg Did Mortgages
The old world is drowning in debt. Governments are responding with austerity programmes and near zero interest rates but neither will work. Economic growth will be required to get the escalating debt under control, but policy makers need to dig deep into the tool box for different ideas as to how to create this growth. In this month's Absolute Return Letter we focus on one particular idea which will greatly benefit economic growth at no cost to the tax payer - reform the mortgage finance system across the world, using the model developed by the Danes over the past 200 years.
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Related paper: "The real effects of debt"
- The Absolute Return Letter, February 2014: Challenging The Consensus
Link to: The Absolute Return Letter, February 2014: Challenging the Consensus Investors are overwhelmingly bearish on bonds going into 2014. In this month’s Absolute Return Letter we challenge that view and look at various reasons why the bond...
- The Absolute Return Letter, October 2013: Heads Or Tails?
The number of people on planet earth will grow from around 7 billion today to over 8 billion by 2030. At the same time, the old-age dependency ratio in many countries around the world will reach critical levels, creating significant headwinds for economic...
- Richard Duncan Quotes
Another longer excerpt from The New Depression (taken from my Kindle highlights, so the excerpts aren’t necessarily the paragraphs I have put them in below, and there may be things in between that I didn’t highlight). I've been posting a lot of...
- A Template For Understanding What’s Going On - By Ray Dalio
I provided a link to this in a previous post, but I thought I’d also give it its own post as I believe this paper from Ray Dalio is one of the most important things I’ve read all year. As Dalio mentions, there is a big difference between a normal...
- Hussman Weekly Market Comment: House On Ice
On the surface, the U.S. economy is gradually recovering. Based on mean reversion to potential GDP (which generally occurs over a 4-year horizon absent an intervening recession), we would expect GDP growth over the coming 4-year period to average 3.8%,...