Money and Finance
Links
How to Feel Safe in Stocks When the Market Seems Dangerous - by Jason Zweig (LINK)
Long-term Thinking and Back to Basics - by John Huber (LINK)
More than A Dozen Reasons Why Investing in Airlines Belongs in the Too Hard Pile - by Tren Griffin (LINK)
Michael Lewis: the scourge of Wall Street [H/T Linc] (LINK)
Related book: The Big Short
Barrron's thinks Colfax is a tempting long-term buy (LINK)
Amazon is cutting out middlemen to stop bleeding billions in shipping costs [H/T @activiststocks] (LINK)
Hussman Weekly Market Comment: An Imminent Likelihood of Recession (LINK)
Since October, the economic evidence has shifted from supporting a growing risk of recession, to a guarded expectation of recession, to the present conclusion that a U.S. recession is not only a risk but an imminent likelihood, awaiting confirmation that typically only emerges after a recession is actually in progress. The reason the consensus of economists has never anticipated a recession is that so few distinguish between leading and lagging data, so they incorrectly interpret the information available at the start of a recession as “mixed” when, placed in proper sequence, the evidence forms a single, coherent freight train.
While I’m among the only observers that anticipated oncoming recessions and market collapses in 2000 and 2007 (shifting to a constructive outlook in-between), I also admittedly anticipated a recession in 2011-2012 that did not emerge. Understand my error, so you don’t incorrectly dismiss the current evidence.
Paul Graham essay: Life is Short (LINK)
Yuval Noah Harari on Why Humans Dominate the Earth: Myth-Making (LINK)
Related book (one of my favorites): Sapiens: A Brief History of Humankind
Brightest-ever supernova still baffles astronomers (LINK)
I’m STILL Not Sayin’ Aliens. But This Star Is Really Weird. (LINK)
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Links
Michael Lewis: Eight Things I Wish for Wall Street (LINK) Tom Russo, Susan Decker, Lawrence Cunningham, and Brad Kinstler discuss Berkshire Hathaway at Stanford (video) [H/T ValueWalk] (LINK) Related book: Berkshire Beyond BuffettMatthew McLennan...
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Links
I had previously missed this, but Richard Koo's latest book came out a few weeks ago: The Escape from Balance Sheet Recession and the QE Trap: A Hazardous Road for the World Economy Fortune: Inside Elon Musk's $1.4 billion score (LINK) Amazon...
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Hussman Weekly Market Comment: Enter, The Blindside Recession
In recent months, our measures of leading economic pressures have indicated the likelihood of an oncoming U.S. recession. Our view is based on the analysis of leading/coincident/lagging indicators (see Leading Indicators and the Risk of a Blindside Recession)...
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Hussman Weekly Market Comment: Have We Avoided A Recession?
In our view, it is very difficult to obtain useful views about economic direction using the standard "flow of anecdotes" approach that is the bread-and-butter of many analysts. The economic data reported daily are a mix of leading, coincident and lagging...
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Hussman Weekly Market Comment: Europe: Just Getting Warmed Up
Last week, the financial markets mounted a striking shift back to the "risk-on" trade, as investor concerns about a recession were abandoned, and Wall Street came to believe that Europe will easily contain its banking problems. Accordingly, downside protection...
Money and Finance