Money and Finance
- Talks At Google: Aswath Damodaran, "valuation: Four Lessons To Take Away"
Link to video ................ Related books: The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset Related link: Valuation: An Online Class...
- Calling Up Visa For Cash
Step one in the investment decision process lies in identifying companies that are high quality. Whether that's through their moats, their operational excellence, their cash generation, their growth prospects, their credit ratings, their dividend...
- Sweetening Your Portfolio With The Hershey Company Dividends
The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) has a rich history of rewarding shareholders with growing profits and increasing dividends. The Hershey Company gets overlooked to their short dividend growth streak of 5 years after holding the dividend steady during the...
- U.s. Beverage Valuation Wrap Up
Throughout February we had fourth quarter and full year earnings releases from the three major players in the non-alcoholic beverage industry. As the new data points rolled in I figured it was time to update the valuations on the Coca-Cola Company (KO),...
- A Closer Look At Johnson & Johnson (jnj)
As a stock holder of many different companies I find myself checking through all kinds news and analysis on the internet. This week I thought I'd share a couple of items about the Dividend Aristocrat Johnson & Johnson. Some fellow dividend bloggers...
Money and Finance
Valuation of the week 1: A Tesla Test – By Aswath Damodaran
I taught the first session of my valuation class, that I previewed in my last post, today. As part of that class, I do what I call a “valuation of the week”, where I pick a company and value it and then post both my valuation (with the spreadsheet and the raw data that I used) and a shared Google spreadsheet for anyone who wants to take my valuation and make it their own (by changing the assumptions). I do this for two reasons. First, I believe that you learn valuation by valuing real companies in real time, not by talking about valuation or reading about it. Second, from a purely selfish standpoint, I pick the companies that I find interesting as potential investments or as real world case studies for my valuations of the week. I find the “crowd valuation” that emerges from this process to be useful in reassessing my own valuations.
As my first valuation of the week, I picked Tesla, for three reasons. First, as a technology company in an otherwise capital-intensive, mature business (the automobile manufacturing business), it stands out. Second, the company has a charismatic CEO, Elon Musk, an ambitious man (and I don’t mean that in a negative sense) with a great deal of imagination. Third, the stock has taken off in the last year, up more than 500%, fueled by both positive news on the product front as well as on the financial front (increasing revenues, declining losses, paying down of debt).
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The Bottom line
The ingredients that make a young, money-losing company into a valuable, mature company are no secret: small revenues have to become big revenues, operating losses have to turn to profits, there has to be enough reinvestment (but not too much) to make these changes and the risk has to subside. I am assuming all of these at Tesla but my estimated value per share of $67.12 is well below the market price of $168.76.
- Talks At Google: Aswath Damodaran, "valuation: Four Lessons To Take Away"
Link to video ................ Related books: The Little Book of Valuation: How to Value a Company, Pick a Stock and Profit Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for Determining the Value of Any Asset Related link: Valuation: An Online Class...
- Calling Up Visa For Cash
Step one in the investment decision process lies in identifying companies that are high quality. Whether that's through their moats, their operational excellence, their cash generation, their growth prospects, their credit ratings, their dividend...
- Sweetening Your Portfolio With The Hershey Company Dividends
The Hershey Company (NYSE:HSY) has a rich history of rewarding shareholders with growing profits and increasing dividends. The Hershey Company gets overlooked to their short dividend growth streak of 5 years after holding the dividend steady during the...
- U.s. Beverage Valuation Wrap Up
Throughout February we had fourth quarter and full year earnings releases from the three major players in the non-alcoholic beverage industry. As the new data points rolled in I figured it was time to update the valuations on the Coca-Cola Company (KO),...
- A Closer Look At Johnson & Johnson (jnj)
As a stock holder of many different companies I find myself checking through all kinds news and analysis on the internet. This week I thought I'd share a couple of items about the Dividend Aristocrat Johnson & Johnson. Some fellow dividend bloggers...