Money and Finance
"Prediction requires knowing about technologies that will be discovered in the future. But that very knowledge would almost automatically allow us to start developing those technologies right away. Ergo, we do not know what we will know." -Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan
- James Altucher Interviews Nassim Taleb
Link to: Ep. 45 Nassim Taleb: Why You Should Embrace Uncertainty This week, Nassim Taleb, author of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, joins The James Altucher Show to talk about technology and how different systems handle disorder. Just...
- Nassim Taleb Quote
"So the central tenet of the epistemology I advocate is as follows: we know a lot more what is wrong than what is right, or, phrased according to the fragile/robust classification, negative knowledge (what is wrong, what does not work) is more robust...
- Nassim Taleb Quotes (prediction)
I had this quote saved to post later, but it seemed to go well with the Tetlock article, so here it is now. THIS paper written by Taleb and Tetlock may also be worth reading (or re-reading) "I insist on the via negativa method of prophecy as being the...
- Nassim Taleb Quote
“…invest in preparedness, not in prediction.” –Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan ...
- Nassim Taleb Quote (experts)
“You cannot ignore self-delusion. The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know. Lack of knowledge and delusion about the quality of your knowledge come together—the same process that makes you know less also makes you satisfied...
Money and Finance
Nassim Taleb quote (prediction and technology)
"Prediction requires knowing about technologies that will be discovered in the future. But that very knowledge would almost automatically allow us to start developing those technologies right away. Ergo, we do not know what we will know." -Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan
- James Altucher Interviews Nassim Taleb
Link to: Ep. 45 Nassim Taleb: Why You Should Embrace Uncertainty This week, Nassim Taleb, author of Antifragile: Things That Gain from Disorder, joins The James Altucher Show to talk about technology and how different systems handle disorder. Just...
- Nassim Taleb Quote
"So the central tenet of the epistemology I advocate is as follows: we know a lot more what is wrong than what is right, or, phrased according to the fragile/robust classification, negative knowledge (what is wrong, what does not work) is more robust...
- Nassim Taleb Quotes (prediction)
I had this quote saved to post later, but it seemed to go well with the Tetlock article, so here it is now. THIS paper written by Taleb and Tetlock may also be worth reading (or re-reading) "I insist on the via negativa method of prophecy as being the...
- Nassim Taleb Quote
“…invest in preparedness, not in prediction.” –Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan ...
- Nassim Taleb Quote (experts)
“You cannot ignore self-delusion. The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know. Lack of knowledge and delusion about the quality of your knowledge come together—the same process that makes you know less also makes you satisfied...