Money and Finance
- Inequality, Free Markets, And Crashes - By Nassim Taleb & Mark Spitznagel
Link to: Inequality, Free Markets, and CrashesNassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel talk about how government intervention postpones the inevitable. Mark Spitznagel and Nassim Taleb started the first equity tail-hedging firm in 1999. Since then these...
- Taleb’s Fragile World
How fragile we are. Five years on from the Lehman Brothers collapse, political and regulatory errors have made the world’s financial system even more fragile. This alarming line of thought comes from Nassim Nicholas Taleb, best known for The Black Swan,...
- Nassim Taleb Quote (collaboration)
“Collaboration has explosive upside, what is mathematically called a superadditive function, i.e., one plus one equals more than two, and one plus one plus one equals much, much more than three. That is pure nonlinearity with explosive benefits—we...
- Newest Addition To The Investing Checklist
“This discussion shows the difficulty in predicting outcomes in an environment of concentrated success.” –Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan - Does business operate in Extremestan or Mediocrastan? o It is Difficult to predict [forecast] outcomes...
- The Economist Magazine - The World In 2036: Nassim Taleb Looks At What Will Break, And What Won't
Paradoxically, one can make long-term predictions on the basis of the prevalence of forecasting errors. A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen “black...
Money and Finance
Nassim Taleb quote (forecast error example)
“While forecast errors have always been entertaining, commodity prices have been a great trap for suckers. Consider this 1970 forecast by U.S. officials (signed by the U.S. Secretaries of the Treasury, State, Interior, and Defense): “the standard price of foreign crude oil by 1980 may well decline and will in any event not experience a substantial increase.” Oil prices went up tenfold by 1980. I just wonder if current forecasters lack in intellectual curiosity or if they are intentionally ignoring forecast errors.” –Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan
- Inequality, Free Markets, And Crashes - By Nassim Taleb & Mark Spitznagel
Link to: Inequality, Free Markets, and CrashesNassim Taleb and Mark Spitznagel talk about how government intervention postpones the inevitable. Mark Spitznagel and Nassim Taleb started the first equity tail-hedging firm in 1999. Since then these...
- Taleb’s Fragile World
How fragile we are. Five years on from the Lehman Brothers collapse, political and regulatory errors have made the world’s financial system even more fragile. This alarming line of thought comes from Nassim Nicholas Taleb, best known for The Black Swan,...
- Nassim Taleb Quote (collaboration)
“Collaboration has explosive upside, what is mathematically called a superadditive function, i.e., one plus one equals more than two, and one plus one plus one equals much, much more than three. That is pure nonlinearity with explosive benefits—we...
- Newest Addition To The Investing Checklist
“This discussion shows the difficulty in predicting outcomes in an environment of concentrated success.” –Nassim Taleb, The Black Swan - Does business operate in Extremestan or Mediocrastan? o It is Difficult to predict [forecast] outcomes...
- The Economist Magazine - The World In 2036: Nassim Taleb Looks At What Will Break, And What Won't
Paradoxically, one can make long-term predictions on the basis of the prevalence of forecasting errors. A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen “black...