Money and Finance
- Nassim Taleb Quote
"Someone with a linear payoff needs to be right more than 50 percent of the time. Someone with a convex payoff, much less. The hidden benefit of antifragility is that you can guess worse than random and still end up outperforming. Here lies the power...
- Nassim Taleb Quote
“Instead of a discussion of risk (which is both predictive and sissy) I advocate the notion of fragility, which is not predictive—and, unlike risk, has an interesting word that can describe its functional opposite, the nonsissy concept of antifragility.”...
- Nassim Taleb On Econtalk
Nassim Taleb, author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about antifragility, the concept behind Taleb's next book, a work in progress. Taleb talks about how we can cope with our ignorance and uncertainty...
- Nassim Taleb - Antifragility: The Souk And The Office Building
Link to: AntiFragility: Chapter 2. The Souk and the Office Building, an Introduction to the Intervention Bias ...
- The Economist Magazine - The World In 2036: Nassim Taleb Looks At What Will Break, And What Won't
Paradoxically, one can make long-term predictions on the basis of the prevalence of forecasting errors. A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen “black...
Money and Finance
Nassim Taleb - AntiFragility: Thales’ Secret, or The Intelligence of Antifragility
Link to: AntiFragility: Chapter 4. Thales' Secret, or The Intelligence of Antifragility
- Nassim Taleb Quote
"Someone with a linear payoff needs to be right more than 50 percent of the time. Someone with a convex payoff, much less. The hidden benefit of antifragility is that you can guess worse than random and still end up outperforming. Here lies the power...
- Nassim Taleb Quote
“Instead of a discussion of risk (which is both predictive and sissy) I advocate the notion of fragility, which is not predictive—and, unlike risk, has an interesting word that can describe its functional opposite, the nonsissy concept of antifragility.”...
- Nassim Taleb On Econtalk
Nassim Taleb, author of Fooled By Randomness and The Black Swan, talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about antifragility, the concept behind Taleb's next book, a work in progress. Taleb talks about how we can cope with our ignorance and uncertainty...
- Nassim Taleb - Antifragility: The Souk And The Office Building
Link to: AntiFragility: Chapter 2. The Souk and the Office Building, an Introduction to the Intervention Bias ...
- The Economist Magazine - The World In 2036: Nassim Taleb Looks At What Will Break, And What Won't
Paradoxically, one can make long-term predictions on the basis of the prevalence of forecasting errors. A system that is over-reliant on prediction (through leverage, like the banking system before the recent crisis), hence fragile to unforeseen “black...