Money and Finance
- Links
Tim Ferriss interviews Brendan Moynihan, co-author of What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars (LINK) Oaktree Is Said to Seek $10 Billion for Distressed Fund (LINK) “Credit standards have dropped and non-investment grade debt issuances reached...
- Stewart Cowley, The Bond-fund Manager Who Can't Stand Bonds
Thanks to Matt for passing this along. Stewart Cowley manages $1.5 billion in the Old Mutual (ODMTY) Global Strategic Bond Fund. One place he generally avoids investing that money: bonds. Mr. Cowley doesn't hold conventional U.S. Treasury bonds. He...
- Hussman Weekly Market Comment: The Outlook Will Shift As Conditions Shift
Our investment outlook will shift as market conditions shift, and we will lean toward a more constructive stance when conditions support it. There are straightforward ways to do that while still remaining careful about larger cyclical risks. Present conditions...
- Bond Hubris Overwhelms Fed In Riskiest Credit-market Sectors
Bond investors trying to divine when the Federal Reserve will reduce its unprecedented monetary stimulus are increasingly looking to the riskiest parts of the debt market, which are booming like before the financial crisis. The amount of loans made this...
- Richard Duncan Quotes
Longer excerpt from The New Depression (taken from my Kindle highlights, so the excerpts aren't necessarily the paragraphs I have put them in below, and there may be things in between that I didn't highlight). “The amount...
Money and Finance
Fishy tale
Thanks to Will for passing this along.
The story of a dollar-bond issue in Mozambique is a parable of easy money
A DESPERATE search for bonds that pay a decent rate of interest and a keen desire for exposure to economies that are still growing quickly have taken rich-world investors to some exotic places. The raciest bets are made in so-called frontier markets, poorer places with even less mature financial sectors than emerging markets. Africa is full of them. Rwanda and Tanzania, for example, have found willing buyers this year for their debut issues of dollar-denominated bonds. The farthest edge of the investing frontier has now reached Mozambique.
In September Credit Suisse and BNP Paribas raised $500m on behalf of EMATUM, a state-owned company in Mozambique. Credit Suisse advanced the $500m; slices of the debt were then sold as loan-participation notes, maturing in 2020, at a yield of 8.5%. VTB, a Russian bank, raised a further $350m for EMATUM shortly afterwards. Such a deal can be done more quickly and with less fuss than a typical bond issue. VTB had already raised $1 billion for Angola in a similar fashion. Those notes are included in J.P. Morgan’s emerging-market bond index, an industry benchmark.
The concern is less about the way the money was raised than how it will be used. Mozambique is poor. Its budget is part-funded by grants and low-interest loans from rich countries. Its public finances were solid in part because it has been granted extensive debt relief. When such countries borrow in private markets, it is usually to fund projects, such as toll roads, airports or power stations, which might have broad enough benefits to justify the expense. But EMATUM is a tuna-fishing venture that came into being just a few weeks before the $850m was raised in its name.
It is not obvious that a state-run fishing startup is a compelling business proposition. But investors know there are huge gas reserves off the shores of Mozambique that will eventually bring in lots of foreign exchange, even if tuna does not. The bonds come with a guarantee from the finance ministry.
- Links
Tim Ferriss interviews Brendan Moynihan, co-author of What I Learned Losing a Million Dollars (LINK) Oaktree Is Said to Seek $10 Billion for Distressed Fund (LINK) “Credit standards have dropped and non-investment grade debt issuances reached...
- Stewart Cowley, The Bond-fund Manager Who Can't Stand Bonds
Thanks to Matt for passing this along. Stewart Cowley manages $1.5 billion in the Old Mutual (ODMTY) Global Strategic Bond Fund. One place he generally avoids investing that money: bonds. Mr. Cowley doesn't hold conventional U.S. Treasury bonds. He...
- Hussman Weekly Market Comment: The Outlook Will Shift As Conditions Shift
Our investment outlook will shift as market conditions shift, and we will lean toward a more constructive stance when conditions support it. There are straightforward ways to do that while still remaining careful about larger cyclical risks. Present conditions...
- Bond Hubris Overwhelms Fed In Riskiest Credit-market Sectors
Bond investors trying to divine when the Federal Reserve will reduce its unprecedented monetary stimulus are increasingly looking to the riskiest parts of the debt market, which are booming like before the financial crisis. The amount of loans made this...
- Richard Duncan Quotes
Longer excerpt from The New Depression (taken from my Kindle highlights, so the excerpts aren't necessarily the paragraphs I have put them in below, and there may be things in between that I didn't highlight). “The amount...