Money and Finance
Archer Daniels Midland Stock Analysis
It's been a while since I've post a stock analysis so today we'll look at one of my recent buys from last week, Archer Daniels Midland (ADM). Archer Daniels Midland closed on Friday, August 17th at $26.17.
Company Background: Archer-Daniels Midland Company procures, transports, stores, processes, and merchandises agricultural commodities and products in the United States and internationally. The companys Oilseeds Processing segment originates, merchandises, crushes, and processes oilseeds, such as soybeans and soft seeds, including cottonseed, sunflower seed, canola, rapeseed, and flaxseed into vegetable oils and protein meals. It offers crude vegetable oils, salad oils, partially refined oils, oilseed protein meals, natural health and nutrition products, specialty food and feed ingredients, cottonseed flour, and cotton cellulose pulp for the food, feed, energy, and other industrial products industries. This segment also operates fertilizer blending facilities. The companys Corn Processing segment converts corn into sweeteners, starches, and bio products. Its products include sweeteners, starch, syrup, glucose, and dextrose. This segment also produces alcohol, amino acids, and other specialty food and animal feed ingredients; corn gluten feed and meal, and distillers grains; vegetable oil and protein meal; and citric and lactic acids, lactates, sorbitol, xanthan gum, and glycols. The companys Agricultural Services segment buys, stores, cleans, transports, and resells agricultural commodities, such as oilseeds, corn, wheat, milo, oats, rice, and barley primarily as food and feed ingredients, and as raw materials for the agricultural processing industry. Its transportation network comprises truck, rail, barge, port, and ocean-going vessel handling and freight services. This segment also processes and distributes formula feeds, and animal health and nutrition products; and procures, processes, and distributes edible beans. In addition, the company offers commodity brokerage services; and cocoa liquor, cocoa butter, cocoa powder, chocolate, as well as writes crop insurance.
DCF Valuation:Analysts expect ADM to grow earnings 10.00% per year for the next five years and I've assumed they can continue to grow at 3.50% per year thereafter. Running these numbers through a DCF analysis with a 11% discount rate yields a fair value price of $45.16. This means that at $26.17 the shares are undervalued by 42%.
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